A threshold error-correction model for intraday futures and index returns

نویسندگان
چکیده

برای دانلود باید عضویت طلایی داشته باشید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Model for non-Gaussian intraday stock returns.

Stock prices are known to exhibit non-Gaussian dynamics, and there is much interest in understanding the origin of this behavior. Here, we present a model that explains the shape and scaling of the distribution of intraday stock price fluctuations (called intraday returns) and verify the model using a large database for several stocks traded on the London Stock Exchange. We provide evidence tha...

متن کامل

Introduction and Estimation of Monetary Conditions Index for Iran's Economy Using Johansson-Josilius Error Correction Method

Determining the monetary policy rule and identifying expansionary and contractionary policies is of particular importance to monetary policymakers. Monetary conditions index as an average weight of effective money transfer channels can play an important role in identifying expansionary and contractionary monetary policies. Therefore, in this article, the index of monetary conditions along with ...

متن کامل

A Model of Returns and Trading in Futures Markets

This paper develops an equilibrium model of a competitive futures market in which investors trade to hedge positions and to speculate on their private information. Equilibrium return and trading patterns are examined. ~1! In markets where the information asymmetry among investors is small, the return volatility of a futures contract decreases with time-to-maturity ~i.e., the Samuelson effect ho...

متن کامل

Intraday Volatility Spillovers between Index Futures and Spot Market: Evidence from China

This paper examined the volatility spillover effects between futures market and spot market in China, using both VAR model and TVP-VAR model. This study found strong bi-directional volatility spillovers between CSI futures and spot markets, and the change of futures’ volatility decreased the change of spot market’s volatility. This results support the hypothesis that the risk management functio...

متن کامل

The Prediction for Index Futures Returns and the Relational Analysis of Spillover Effect

The grey theory is mainly uncertainty directed against the systematic model and fit for incomplete information. This paper adopts the grey prediction methods, GM(1,1) and GM(1,1|optimal α), to investigate the return and volatility of major index futures among American and Eurasian markets. The grey relational theory and GM(1,N) model are further used to observe the volatility spillover effect a...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Applied Econometrics

سال: 1998

ISSN: 0883-7252,1099-1255

DOI: 10.1002/(sici)1099-1255(199805/06)13:3<245::aid-jae480>3.0.co;2-e